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New CCEA Report - March 2009

Projecting Economic Benefits:
     Expansion Pathways for the University of Connecticut Health Center


URI / UConn BioFuels -
May 29th @ Kingston





Connecticut Economic Analysis - May 2009

How Deep the Hole: Holding Job Losses to 100,000?

     May 7, 2009:    If the Federal and international stimulus initiatives do not take hold by the end of 2009, Connecticut may see a deepening recession with job losses hitting 110,000 or more by 2011, with no end in sight.


     The result of the capital market crisis and serious losses in exports together could make the hole deep indeed.


                  
                   Chart 3: CtRGDP BEA Data and CCEA Weak Estimates


     But if domestic and international stimulus packages take hold, generating a stronger national recovery, Connecticut employment losses would reach only 100,000 in mid-2010, then begin to recover. This will still be a painful contraction, with nearly twice the job losses of the last recession, but with less than two-thirds the losses of the early 1990s. Yet even the optimistic stimulus-driven Outlook suggests only a weak recovery for Connecticut in 2011 and 2012.


                  
                   Chart 5: CtRGDP BEA Data and CCEA Estimates


     Unless Connecticut develops a coherent, effective economic development strategy, supported with significant strategic investments, it faces an increasingly difficult economic future.    Read the Full Report.